Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 11.710678 13.652049 15.765953 18.232293 21.024124 24.079536 27.669438
2025-11-23 8.045132 10.590069 13.650590 17.571180 22.425844 28.203295 35.558819
2025-11-30 6.447993 9.335399 13.084201 18.235703 25.047531 33.654317 45.244457
2025-12-07 5.393323 8.464895 12.716715 18.905373 27.531904 38.958598 55.031138
2025-12-14 4.325992 7.329042 11.742794 18.515738 28.417394 42.095681 62.085052
2025-12-21 3.487370 6.352291 10.806252 17.981872 28.935545 44.646583 68.396202
2025-12-28 3.131879 6.062854 10.837234 18.842002 31.495732 50.198275 79.236279
2026-01-04 2.795558 5.738492 10.750531 19.475206 33.722542 55.370913 89.813914
2026-01-11 2.417482 5.268331 10.346926 19.524983 35.001255 59.161372 98.522331
2026-01-18 2.098620 4.848100 9.963488 19.544328 36.196127 62.856660 107.256655
2026-01-25 1.769244 4.344009 9.354449 19.087773 36.530273 65.173177 113.929605
2026-02-01 1.519725 3.956255 8.904585 18.852775 37.194851 68.026587 121.570583
2026-02-08 1.272934 3.541679 8.375923 18.472272 37.678888 70.795933 129.568898
2026-02-15 1.026450 3.074922 7.676084 17.690582 37.390281 72.287032 135.648372
2026-02-22 0.932562 2.958570 7.697131 18.338440 39.803661 78.599297 150.238104
2026-03-01 0.851164 2.855465 7.729746 19.007612 42.304080 85.211611 165.702327
2026-03-08 0.714059 2.565963 7.288623 18.615512 42.685921 88.020439 174.656748
2026-03-15 0.591478 2.283014 6.812349 18.079051 42.713082 90.153685 182.496492
2026-03-22 0.554637 2.251477 6.952196 18.943151 45.676362 97.944369 200.955597
2026-03-29 0.510584 2.185517 6.992992 19.579273 48.206127 105.047276 218.494647
2026-04-05 0.447952 2.039396 6.797489 19.629278 49.481978 109.795484 231.887219
2026-04-12 0.392471 1.901451 6.600337 19.648712 50.684909 114.458214 245.333649
2026-04-19 0.329721 1.715043 6.231559 19.190053 50.777474 116.901619 254.651672